Adam Henrique vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 74.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
47.6% (231)
+8.5%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
83.3% (12)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
33.3% (21)
+17.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.5% (215)
51.2% (164)
Away
55.2% (306)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.7%
50.0%
P2
53.8%
46.2%
P3
51.6%
49.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%