Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.7% vs Crosby 49.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 71.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 52.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Henrique
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Henrique
Crosby
Last 9: Henrique 1-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Henrique
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Henrique
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Henrique
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (358)
49.4% (1,194)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
52.6% (350)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (94)
43.4% (53)
+1.3%
On even strength, Henrique has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Henrique is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Henrique shoots left. Crosby is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Henrique
Crosby
Home
53.9% (245)
51.3% (776)
Away
50.4% (274)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Henrique
Crosby
P1
52.8%
50.5%
P2
56.5%
51.3%
P3
46.1%
47.8%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |