Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Crosby 56.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 83.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 75.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 53.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Henrique
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Henrique
Crosby
Last 7: Henrique 4-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Henrique
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
56.2% (1,451)
+1.3%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
61.4% (293)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
55.3% (38)
-9.8%
On power play, Henrique has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Henrique
Crosby
Home
56.4% (518)
59.1% (939)
Away
54.9% (492)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Henrique
Crosby
P1
56.0%
54.9%
P2
55.2%
60.8%
P3
56.2%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |