Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.6%). Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 53.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 69.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 58.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Henrique
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Henrique
Crosby
Last 10: Henrique 1-9 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Henrique
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Henrique
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
55.9% (676)
-2.4%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
56.7% (171)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
46.3% (41)
+4.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Crosby is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Henrique
Crosby
Home
57.4% (467)
57.7% (454)
Away
52.7% (463)
53.5% (434)
By Period
Henrique
Crosby
P1
55.4%
55.9%
P2
56.7%
53.0%
P3
54.0%
57.7%
OT
22.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |