Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 65.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.0%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Henrique
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Henrique
Nosek
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Henrique
Nosek
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
5
Henrique
Nosek
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
0
Henrique
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
54.9% (2,674)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
44.7% (47)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
47.4% (424)
-1.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nosek
Home
52.5% (6,418)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Henrique
Nosek
P1
50.6%
52.3%
P2
51.4%
54.0%
P3
50.2%
54.6%
OT
40.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:41 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |