Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Nosek 51.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 74.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Henrique
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Nosek
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Henrique
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Henrique
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
53.0% (400)
+4.5%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
33.3% (12)
+39.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
45.5% (44)
+0.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nosek
Home
56.4% (518)
49.6% (244)
Away
54.9% (492)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Henrique
Nosek
P1
56.0%
53.1%
P2
55.2%
51.4%
P3
56.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:41 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |