Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Frederic 45.7% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 68.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 91.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 86.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Henrique
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Henrique
Frederic
Last 6: Henrique 6-0 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Frederic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
Frederic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
42.6% (195)
+14.9%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
64.3% (14)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
25.0% (4)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Frederic is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Henrique
Frederic
Home
56.4% (518)
48.6% (107)
Away
54.9% (492)
38.7% (106)
By Period
Henrique
Frederic
P1
56.0%
37.5%
P2
55.2%
44.8%
P3
56.2%
49.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |