Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Henrique wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Bozak 48.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 58.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 59.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Henrique
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Henrique
Bozak
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
9
Henrique
Bozak
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Henrique
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
48.8% (1,036)
-5.0%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
53.8% (225)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
39.1% (138)
+8.2%
On power play, Bozak has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Henrique is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Henrique shoots left. Bozak is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bozak
Home
45.3% (422)
50.8% (608)
Away
43.5% (496)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Henrique
Bozak
P1
44.3%
48.0%
P2
44.1%
48.1%
P3
45.5%
49.8%
OT
26.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
44.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | OT | 04:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |