Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Bozak 46.2% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 62.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 82.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 72.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Henrique
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Henrique
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Henrique
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Henrique
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
46.7% (338)
+7.7%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
50.0% (6)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
32.6% (43)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bozak
Home
55.3% (237)
47.9% (194)
Away
55.8% (260)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Henrique
Bozak
P1
53.5%
40.2%
P2
64.8%
51.4%
P3
47.3%
43.1%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
55.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |