Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.1%). Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 23-19 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 63.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.2%
Neutral zone
Rask 50.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Henrique
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
23
(42 meetings)
19
23
Henrique
Rask
Last 10: Henrique 9-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
6
7
Henrique
Rask
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
9
7
Henrique
Rask
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
4
9
Henrique
Rask
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
50.0% (4,428)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
54.3% (363)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
35.2% (54)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Henrique
Rask
Home
52.5% (6,418)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Henrique
Rask
P1
50.6%
50.7%
P2
51.4%
48.9%
P3
50.2%
50.7%
OT
40.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Victor Rask |