Adam Henrique vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 79.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 62.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Henrique
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Henrique
Karlsson
Last 9: Henrique 5-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Henrique
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
58.6% (597)
-1.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
57.9% (57)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
51.9% (52)
-6.4%
On power play, Henrique has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Henrique
Karlsson
Home
56.4% (518)
59.6% (344)
Away
54.9% (492)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Henrique
Karlsson
P1
56.0%
53.1%
P2
55.2%
62.1%
P3
56.2%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |