Adam Henrique vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 65.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 78.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 73.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Henrique
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Henrique
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
43.2% (146)
+12.9%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
50.0% (2)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
44.8% (29)
+6.0%
On even strength, Henrique has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Henrique
Girgensons
Home
53.5% (215)
40.3% (72)
Away
55.2% (306)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Henrique
Girgensons
P1
57.7%
43.8%
P2
53.8%
44.6%
P3
51.6%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |