Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Tuch shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Tuch 46.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 80.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.8%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 80.8%
19.2%
80.8%
Lowry
Tuch
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Tuch
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
0
1
Lowry
Tuch
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Tuch
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
44.1% (59)
+8.6%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
40.0% (10)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
33.3% (6)
+6.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tuch shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Lowry
Tuch
Home
52.4% (597)
46.9% (32)
Away
48.4% (583)
39.5% (43)
By Period
Lowry
Tuch
P1
48.5%
56.3%
P2
52.2%
35.5%
P3
50.5%
27.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |