Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Copp 53.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 81.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 62.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 71.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Lowry
Copp
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Lowry
Copp
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Copp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Copp
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Copp
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Copp
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Copp
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
54.1% (833)
-4.8%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
77.5% (40)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
42.2% (128)
+0.4%
On power play, Copp has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Copp shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Home / Away
Lowry
Copp
Home
50.2% (671)
51.9% (511)
Away
47.8% (709)
55.3% (490)
By Period
Lowry
Copp
P1
48.4%
54.1%
P2
50.1%
54.2%
P3
47.8%
52.5%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |