Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.5%). Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Shaw 47.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 62.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.0%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lowry
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lowry
Shaw
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Shaw
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
2
Lowry
Shaw
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
2
Lowry
Shaw
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
46.0% (291)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
47.4% (19)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
75.0% (4)
-30.2%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Lowry is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (368).
Lowry shoots left. Shaw is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Lowry
Shaw
Home
49.9% (393)
49.4% (160)
Away
43.1% (452)
43.5% (154)
By Period
Lowry
Shaw
P1
45.1%
46.2%
P2
44.8%
45.9%
P3
49.1%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |