Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Shaw 48.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 82.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 53.4%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Lowry
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Lowry
Shaw
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
6
7
Lowry
Shaw
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lowry
Shaw
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
4
Lowry
Shaw
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
47.9% (3,088)
+4.9%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.9% (407)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
42.1% (57)
+2.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Home / Away
Lowry
Shaw
Home
53.5% (5,893)
50.3% (1,812)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
45.9% (1,740)
By Period
Lowry
Shaw
P1
51.5%
48.5%
P2
51.8%
47.9%
P3
51.4%
48.2%
OT
46.3%
41.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |