Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Kopitar 54.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 71.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lowry
Kopitar
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
Lowry
Kopitar
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Kopitar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Lowry
Kopitar
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
4
Lowry
Kopitar
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
5
Lowry
Kopitar
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kopitar
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
56.4% (1,054)
-7.1%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
57.3% (293)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
45.5% (213)
-2.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopitar shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kopitar
Home
50.2% (671)
56.1% (786)
Away
47.8% (709)
54.0% (774)
By Period
Lowry
Kopitar
P1
48.4%
56.2%
P2
50.1%
55.4%
P3
47.8%
53.0%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |