Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Watson 46.0% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 69.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 83.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Lowry
Watson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Watson
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Watson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Watson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Watson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Watson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Watson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
46.2% (182)
+6.6%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
33.3% (6)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
38.3% (47)
+6.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Watson shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Watson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Lowry
Watson
Home
53.5% (5,893)
44.2% (113)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
44.3% (122)
By Period
Lowry
Watson
P1
51.5%
40.5%
P2
51.8%
46.2%
P3
51.4%
46.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Austin Watson |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Austin Watson |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |