Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Goodrow 50.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Goodrow leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Goodrow 56.2%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 55.5%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 57.3%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Lowry
Goodrow
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lowry
Goodrow
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Goodrow
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
4
Lowry
Goodrow
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
2
Lowry
Goodrow
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Goodrow
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Goodrow
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
52.3% (3,091)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
46.7% (180)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
44.4% (940)
+0.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goodrow shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Goodrow is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,655).
Home / Away
Lowry
Goodrow
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.9% (2,109)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.8% (2,102)
By Period
Lowry
Goodrow
P1
51.5%
50.5%
P2
51.8%
49.2%
P3
51.4%
51.3%
OT
46.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |