Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Soderberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Soderberg 46.0% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 72.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 67.3%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 52.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Lowry
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lowry
Soderberg
Last 9: Lowry 4-5 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
1
Lowry
Soderberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Soderberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
3
Lowry
Soderberg
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
45.2% (469)
+11.0%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
51.9% (54)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
27.8% (18)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Lowry is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Lowry shoots left. Soderberg is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Lowry
Soderberg
Home
57.8% (341)
44.4% (248)
Away
49.4% (308)
46.1% (293)
By Period
Lowry
Soderberg
P1
53.2%
44.0%
P2
54.4%
49.2%
P3
53.0%
42.5%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |