Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Soderberg 47.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 28-27 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Soderberg 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 65.0%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 51.5%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lowry
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
28
(55 meetings)
27
28
Lowry
Soderberg
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
5
15
Lowry
Soderberg
20 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Lowry
Soderberg
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
16
7
Lowry
Soderberg
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.3% (4,444)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
53.1% (424)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
40.8% (601)
+4.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Home / Away
Lowry
Soderberg
Home
53.5% (5,893)
50.2% (2,703)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
45.6% (2,766)
By Period
Lowry
Soderberg
P1
51.5%
47.4%
P2
51.8%
48.2%
P3
51.4%
48.1%
OT
46.3%
46.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |