Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Fischer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Fischer 39.0% (+18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 83.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Lowry
Fischer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lowry
Fischer
Last 5: Lowry 3-2 Fischer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Fischer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Fischer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Fischer
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
35.1% (188)
+20.7%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
33.3% (24)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
18.2% (11)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fischer shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Fischer is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Lowry
Fischer
Home
53.4% (515)
29.6% (108)
Away
52.6% (549)
38.3% (115)
By Period
Lowry
Fischer
P1
54.2%
30.4%
P2
54.4%
38.9%
P3
50.8%
32.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.0%
Fischer
34.0%▼
40.0%
34.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Christian Fischer |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Christian Fischer |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |