Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Regan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — O'Regan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs O'Regan 49.1% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Regan 85.1%
Defensive zone
O'Regan 68.4%
Neutral zone
O'Regan 71.9%
Result
Danny O'Regan favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Lowry
O'Regan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lowry
O'Regan
Last 7: Lowry 2-5 O'Regan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Regan
0
4
Lowry
O'Regan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
O'Regan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Regan
0
1
Lowry
O'Regan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
O'Regan
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
45.4% (108)
+13.6%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
88.9% (9)
-44.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
33.3% (3)
+11.3%
On power play, O'Regan has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Regan shoots right. Lowry is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lowry shoots left. O'Regan is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Lowry
O'Regan
Home
57.9% (330)
58.7% (63)
Away
54.0% (341)
36.8% (57)
By Period
Lowry
O'Regan
P1
55.8%
42.9%
P2
55.8%
50.0%
P3
56.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
62.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |