Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Regan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs O'Regan 48.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Regan 83.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.9%
Neutral zone
O'Regan 61.3%
Result
Danny O'Regan favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Lowry
O'Regan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lowry
O'Regan
Last 7: Lowry 2-5 O'Regan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Regan
0
4
Lowry
O'Regan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
O'Regan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Regan
0
1
Lowry
O'Regan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
O'Regan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
45.5% (167)
+7.3%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
72.7% (11)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
33.3% (3)
+11.6%
On power play, O'Regan has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Regan shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. O'Regan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Lowry
O'Regan
Home
53.5% (5,893)
52.7% (112)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
37.7% (69)
By Period
Lowry
O'Regan
P1
51.5%
42.2%
P2
51.8%
50.9%
P3
51.4%
48.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |