Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Krejci 47.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 85.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 54.5%
Neutral zone
Krejci 64.7%
Result
David Krejci favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Lowry
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Lowry
Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
3
Lowry
Krejci
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
Lowry
Krejci
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
47.2% (669)
+5.5%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
53.7% (54)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
35.3% (17)
+4.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Home / Away
Lowry
Krejci
Home
52.4% (597)
52.0% (381)
Away
48.4% (583)
42.6% (359)
By Period
Lowry
Krejci
P1
48.5%
47.2%
P2
52.2%
43.7%
P3
50.5%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | David Krejci |