Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 54.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Lowry
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Lowry
MacKenzie
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
5
Lowry
MacKenzie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lowry
MacKenzie
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
54.9% (3,660)
-2.1%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
55.9% (102)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
46.7% (1,158)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
Home / Away
Lowry
MacKenzie
Home
53.5% (5,893)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Lowry
MacKenzie
P1
51.5%
51.9%
P2
51.8%
53.0%
P3
51.4%
54.0%
OT
46.3%
65.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |