Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs James 50.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
James 66.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Lowry
James
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
James
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 James
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
James
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
James
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
James
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
49.6% (270)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
80.0% (5)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
100.0% (1)
-55.1%
On penalty kill, James has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
James shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. James is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Lowry
James
Home
53.5% (5,893)
47.4% (156)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
54.2% (120)
By Period
Lowry
James
P1
51.5%
47.4%
P2
51.8%
53.3%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
James
60.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic James |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic James |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |