Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.6%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Strome 51.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 41-36 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 78.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Lowry
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
36
(77 meetings)
41
36
Lowry
Strome
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
19
Lowry
Strome
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
20
5
Lowry
Strome
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
17
12
Lowry
Strome
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.1% (6,337)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
58.4% (1,519)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
45.6% (68)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Lowry
Strome
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
52.2% (3,956)
By Period
Lowry
Strome
P1
51.5%
50.4%
P2
51.8%
52.1%
P3
51.4%
52.3%
OT
46.3%
52.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:36 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |