Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Haula 53.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 82.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 58.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 69.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Lowry
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lowry
Haula
Last 6: Lowry 5-1 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Haula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Haula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
55.0% (684)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
52.9% (17)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
38.8% (49)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Haula is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Lowry
Haula
Home
52.9% (680)
55.2% (355)
Away
48.5% (615)
52.7% (395)
By Period
Lowry
Haula
P1
51.5%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
54.7%
P3
49.3%
54.4%
OT
60.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |