Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.4%). Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Haula 52.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 35-25 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 77.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 54.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 57.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Lowry
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
25
(60 meetings)
35
25
Lowry
Haula
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
5
10
Lowry
Haula
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
9
7
Lowry
Haula
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
21
8
Lowry
Haula
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
52.9% (7,683)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
57.5% (603)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
43.5% (791)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Home / Away
Lowry
Haula
Home
53.5% (5,893)
53.4% (4,478)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
51.3% (4,599)
By Period
Lowry
Haula
P1
51.5%
53.2%
P2
51.8%
51.4%
P3
51.4%
52.7%
OT
46.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Erik Haula |