Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 67.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 63.2%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 51.0%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Lowry
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Lowry
Nielsen
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Nielsen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
3
Lowry
Nielsen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Lowry
Nielsen
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
49.3% (7,608)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
54.7% (594)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
41.7% (1,420)
+3.2%
On even strength, Lowry has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nielsen
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Lowry
Nielsen
P1
51.5%
49.7%
P2
51.8%
47.6%
P3
51.4%
48.2%
OT
46.3%
46.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 4, 2016 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |