Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Lapierre 39.8% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 90.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Lowry
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Lapierre
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
38.7% (644)
+14.1%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
23.1% (13)
+34.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
0.0% (1)
+44.9%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Lapierre is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lapierre
Home
53.5% (5,893)
39.1% (366)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
37.3% (292)
By Period
Lowry
Lapierre
P1
51.5%
46.8%
P2
51.8%
38.1%
P3
51.4%
28.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |