Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Compher 51.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 58.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 53.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 55.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Lowry
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Compher
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
3
Lowry
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Lowry
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
53.9% (757)
+1.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
54.8% (31)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
35.6% (90)
+4.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Lowry
Compher
Home
54.5% (402)
52.4% (429)
Away
53.3% (368)
51.7% (449)
By Period
Lowry
Compher
P1
52.4%
56.0%
P2
56.0%
50.0%
P3
54.2%
50.6%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |