Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Eichel 48.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 56.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Lowry
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lowry
Eichel
Last 9: Lowry 6-3 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Eichel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Eichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
47.7% (858)
+7.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
55.6% (63)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
44.8% (87)
-4.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Lowry
Eichel
Home
54.5% (402)
47.7% (509)
Away
53.3% (368)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Lowry
Eichel
P1
52.4%
49.5%
P2
56.0%
48.5%
P3
54.2%
46.8%
OT
40.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | OT | 00:19 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 6, 2026 | OT | 00:15 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |