Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Eichel 45.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 77.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 60.7%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Lowry
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Eichel
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
3
Lowry
Eichel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
2
Lowry
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
45.5% (708)
+7.2%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
51.9% (54)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
29.0% (31)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Lowry
Eichel
Home
52.4% (597)
46.1% (388)
Away
48.4% (583)
44.4% (405)
By Period
Lowry
Eichel
P1
48.5%
46.8%
P2
52.2%
43.4%
P3
50.5%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2022 | OT | 03:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |