Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Hughes 39.8% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 59.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Lowry
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
36.8% (266)
+18.6%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
14.3% (7)
+69.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
33.3% (6)
+7.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +69.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hughes
Home
54.5% (402)
35.1% (148)
Away
53.3% (368)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Lowry
Hughes
P1
52.4%
43.0%
P2
56.0%
28.7%
P3
54.2%
35.2%
Final 5 min
58.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |