Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Hughes 37.9% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 81.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 53.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lowry
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lowry
Hughes
Last 5: Lowry 2-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Lowry
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
2
Lowry
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
34.9% (444)
+17.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
50.0% (14)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
33.3% (6)
+6.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hughes
Home
52.4% (597)
37.4% (235)
Away
48.4% (583)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Lowry
Hughes
P1
48.5%
37.1%
P2
52.2%
33.7%
P3
50.5%
34.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |