Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Megna 49.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 58.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Lowry
Megna
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Megna
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Megna
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Megna
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
0
2
Lowry
Megna
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Megna
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
49.1% (401)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.0% (4)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
47.6% (42)
-2.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Megna is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Lowry
Megna
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.3% (227)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.6% (220)
By Period
Lowry
Megna
P1
51.5%
51.7%
P2
51.8%
49.3%
P3
51.4%
46.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |