Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Megna shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Megna 51.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 52.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 54.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Lowry
Megna
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Megna
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Megna
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Megna
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
0
2
Lowry
Megna
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Megna
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
53.8% (251)
-1.1%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
0.0% (2)
+52.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
42.3% (26)
-2.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Megna is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Lowry
Megna
Home
52.4% (597)
50.4% (135)
Away
48.4% (583)
54.2% (144)
By Period
Lowry
Megna
P1
48.5%
60.9%
P2
52.2%
51.2%
P3
50.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |