Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Colborne 51.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 72.3%
Defensive zone
Colborne 63.5%
Neutral zone
Colborne 62.7%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Lowry
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lowry
Colborne
Last 8: Lowry 6-2 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Colborne
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Colborne
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Colborne
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
52.1% (284)
-5.1%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
53.8% (39)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
53.8% (13)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Colborne is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Lowry
Colborne
Home
49.2% (425)
60.7% (163)
Away
45.3% (426)
44.5% (173)
By Period
Lowry
Colborne
P1
53.6%
59.3%
P2
39.8%
47.0%
P3
48.5%
52.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |