Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Colborne 48.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 51.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 81.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Lowry
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lowry
Colborne
Last 9: Lowry 7-2 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Colborne
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Colborne
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Colborne
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
47.7% (960)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
52.4% (170)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
54.3% (35)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Lowry
Colborne
Home
53.5% (5,893)
56.1% (569)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
41.4% (596)
By Period
Lowry
Colborne
P1
51.5%
50.3%
P2
51.8%
48.9%
P3
51.4%
46.7%
OT
46.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |