Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Thornton 52.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 53.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Lowry
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lowry
Thornton
Last 8: Lowry 2-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
4
Lowry
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Lowry
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
51.8% (577)
-5.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.7% (168)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
37.5% (8)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Thornton is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thornton
Home
49.9% (393)
53.0% (379)
Away
43.1% (452)
52.9% (374)
By Period
Lowry
Thornton
P1
45.1%
53.3%
P2
44.8%
50.7%
P3
49.1%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |