Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.9%). Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Thornton 50.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 68.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Lowry
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lowry
Thornton
Last 8: Lowry 6-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Lowry
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Thornton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
49.8% (544)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
54.5% (178)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
46.7% (15)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thornton
Home
52.9% (680)
54.9% (355)
Away
48.5% (615)
47.1% (382)
By Period
Lowry
Thornton
P1
51.5%
46.0%
P2
51.5%
52.5%
P3
49.3%
55.6%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |