Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Ward 48.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 76.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 53.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 61.4%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Lowry
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Lowry
Ward
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
5
6
Lowry
Ward
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
5
Lowry
Ward
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Ward
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.3% (1,186)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
53.4% (238)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
35.5% (366)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Lowry
Ward
Home
53.5% (5,893)
50.3% (870)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Lowry
Ward
P1
51.5%
47.6%
P2
51.8%
47.5%
P3
51.4%
50.3%
OT
46.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Joel Ward |