Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Jooris 48.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 73.4%
Defensive zone
Jooris 53.7%
Neutral zone
Jooris 65.0%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Lowry
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
Jooris
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
2
Lowry
Jooris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
3
Lowry
Jooris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.6% (1,221)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
61.0% (41)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
39.4% (175)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jooris
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.0% (786)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Lowry
Jooris
P1
51.5%
47.5%
P2
51.8%
44.3%
P3
51.4%
51.3%
OT
46.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |