Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Dauphin 44.4% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dauphin 63.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Lowry
Dauphin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lowry
Dauphin
Last 8: Lowry 4-4 Dauphin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dauphin
0
1
Lowry
Dauphin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Dauphin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dauphin
1
2
Lowry
Dauphin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dauphin
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
43.0% (214)
+12.8%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
55.6% (9)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
29.2% (24)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dauphin shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Dauphin is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dauphin
Home
53.4% (515)
47.2% (125)
Away
52.6% (549)
36.9% (122)
By Period
Lowry
Dauphin
P1
54.2%
42.0%
P2
54.4%
42.3%
P3
50.8%
43.0%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Laurent Dauphin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Laurent Dauphin |