Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Lowry
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Carlsson
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Lowry
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Carlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
34.4% (535)
+14.9%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
42.9% (21)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
40.0% (5)
+2.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carlsson
Home
50.2% (671)
38.6% (254)
Away
47.8% (709)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Lowry
Carlsson
P1
48.4%
35.9%
P2
50.1%
33.8%
P3
47.8%
34.3%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |