Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Glendening 57.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 51.2%
Defensive zone
Glendening 64.0%
Neutral zone
Glendening 56.7%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Lowry
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lowry
Glendening
Last 9: Lowry 5-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Glendening
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Glendening
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
2
3
Lowry
Glendening
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
61.5% (535)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
60.0% (10)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
50.3% (179)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Glendening is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Home / Away
Lowry
Glendening
Home
53.4% (515)
59.7% (365)
Away
52.6% (549)
57.7% (359)
By Period
Lowry
Glendening
P1
54.2%
65.3%
P2
54.4%
52.4%
P3
50.8%
58.7%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |