Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Johnson 50.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 80.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 56.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 60.4%
Result
Luke Johnson favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Lowry
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Johnson
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Lowry
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Lowry
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
44.8% (29)
+11.4%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
100.0% (2)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
100.0% (1)
-56.4%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lowry is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Lowry shoots left. Johnson is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johnson
Home
57.8% (341)
76.9% (13)
Away
49.4% (308)
31.6% (19)
By Period
Lowry
Johnson
P1
53.2%
60.0%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
53.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |