Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Johnson 49.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 73.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 50.9%
Neutral zone
Johnson 58.7%
Result
Luke Johnson favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Lowry
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Johnson
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Lowry
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Lowry
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.0% (202)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
66.7% (3)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
30.0% (20)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Johnson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Lowry
Johnson
Home
53.5% (5,893)
53.7% (67)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
47.5% (158)
By Period
Lowry
Johnson
P1
51.5%
53.8%
P2
51.8%
53.8%
P3
51.4%
39.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |